terça-feira, 31 de agosto de 2010

Psychological Stages of a RE Bubble Market

Psychological Stages of a RE Bubble Market: "

In light of the latest Case Shiller data was out this morning, I wanted to draw your attention to a fascinating chart from the Irvine Housing Blog.

Its a Real Estate focused variant of the market cycle/psychological chart we have run in the past. I have annotated it in red, to show where we are.

Note what they call a bear rally is actually just the result of government programs, mortgage mods, HAMP, etc.


Real Estate Cycle of Sentiment


Irvine Housing Blog interprets the chart as “a sign that people are clinging to the hope of a real estate recovery. We are not yet at the bottom.”



5 Stages of Market Grief (January 7th, 2008)

Lagging Psychology at Turning Points (April 15th, 2010)

Psychology Cheat Sheet (June 29th, 2010)


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