sexta-feira, 19 de dezembro de 2008

US Dollar May Lose Further Against the Japanese Yen

USD/JPY Ratio: 1.33
Signal: Bearish
USDJPY – The forex trading crowd continues to buy into US Dollar/Japanese Yen declines, and such stubbornness suggests that the pair may yet fall further. That said, positioning has become far less extreme through recent trading. The ratio of long to short positions in the USDJPY stands at 1.31 as nearly 57% of traders are long. This stands in contrast with a ratio of 2.11 at this point last week, and the slow capitulation from the forex trading crowd tells us that we are zeroing in on a bottom. Through the very short term we may expect the US Dollar to continue falling against the Japanese Yen, but a stronger shift in sentiment would signal that a turn is likely. As it stands, our USD/JPY trading strategies are currently flat after aggressively selling through previous price action. 

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